Wednesday, December 31, 2014

Hopman Cup Preview

With the start of the tennis season right around the corner, a tradition continues with the 2015 edition of the Hopman Cup. Since the tournament began in 1989, the USA has been by far the most successful nation by making 10 finals appearances and winning 6 of those. The Americans have been in a short title drought though, winning their last Hopman Cup in 2011 with Bethanie Mattek-Sands and John Isner. This year, Isner is back alongside Serena Williams, and they are the clear cut favorites for the title.

Perth Arena

The United States are in the very tough Group A with Canada (Bouchard, Pospisil), the Czech Republic (Safarova, Pavlasek), and Italy (Pennetta, Fognini). This group is not as tough as it could be though, as players like Berdych, Rosol, Stepanek, Kvitova, Seppi, and Raonic opted out of playing this year. Another bright spot is that Serena is 16-0 against her female counterparts in this group (unless you count a walkover to Pennetta all the way back in 2005). 

Serena Williams taking part in the Hopman Cup this year is clearly a big boost for the US. Having arguably the greatest woman to ever play tennis represent your nation is something Americans like to see and the rest of the world hates. Serena has won 2 Hopman Cup titles before and is looking for her third, as she returns to Perth for the first time since she won in 2008. Serena went 5-0 against Safarova, Bouchard, and Pennetta in 2014, with all 5 matches coming in August or later, including a 6-1 6-1 beat down of Bouchard at the WTA finals. The one woman that Serena may have to worry about in this tournament is Alize Cornet, who is 4-3 overall against Serena, including 3 wins in 2014. Nevertheless, Serena and her powerful game should sweep through Group A, meaning only either an Isner win in singles or a mixed doubles win will be needed in each tie.

Serena Williams celebrating her 2008 Hopman Cup win with Mardy Fish.

John Isner returns to Hopman Cup action for the third year in a row and is looking for his second title. In 2014, John only played two matches, beating Daniel Munoz-de la Nava and losing to Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, before pulling out of his match in the third tie. His time in Group A will certainly not be as easy as Serena's as he has to face Vasek Pospisil and Fabio Fognini, as well as the 240th ranked Adam Pavlasek. John has not met any of these 3 officially since the Canada Masters in 2013, when Pospisil beat him in 3 tight sets. The small sample sizes of matchups between these players is not enough to predict what could happen in the group; however, Fognini's defensive game could cause issues for John, while Pospisil combines good movement around the court with powerful ground strokes, a tough combination for John to handle. On the other hand, you never know what you will get from Fognini, and Pospisil is coming off a poor year in 2014. Fognini does have a recent win over John in the Huan Hin Tennis Exhibition, in which John was beaten 75 64 on New Year's Eve. Hopefully John can recover from this loss, figure out what he did wrong, and turn things in his favor. John will have less stress on him in this tournament thanks to a dominant Serena being his partner, and this will allow him to win at least 2 of his 3 matches in Group A. 

Group B will see Australia (Dellacqua, Ebden), France (Cornet, Paire), Great Britain (Watson, Murray), and Poland (Radwanska, Janowicz) fight for a spot in the final. While Murray is the best player in this group, he will have to carry the team and possibly feel extra stress, allowing Poland to be the favorites as they have both of their number ones playing. Radwanska is the star female of the group and should have no problems winning two matches, and possibly all 3 (Cornet presents a tough matchup for her). The Australian team would've been able to give Poland a run for their money playing in their home nation with a confident Nick Kyrgios, and a much improved Casey Dellacqua, but Kyrgios' late withdrawal leaves them hanging. At the end of the day, I expect Jerzy Janowicz to find some good form, and give Radwanska the extra boost she needs to reach the final.

John Isner celebrating his 2011 Hopman Cup win with Bethanie Mattek-Sands.

With the Hopman Cup coming in the first week of the season, there are a lot of unseen variables at hand. It's a possibility that the players aren't in good form, had a bad offseason, or just aren't in their best shape yet. We saw this last year with Grzegorz Panfil beating Milos Raonic and taking a set off of Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, exemplifying that anything could happen. If things go through their normal course though, expect a final matchup between the United States and Poland. Serena is 8-0 against Radwanska, only losing 1 set total, so that match could be chalked up as a win for the USA. Meanwhile, Isner has never played Janowicz, but their powerful games going up against each other should favor Isner thanks to his experience and mental strength. If the doubles rubber is necessary, again the USA should be favored thanks to the doubles prowess of Serena and the powerful serve of Isner. Expect the USA to return to the winner's circle, garnering their 7th Hopman Cup title in 19 years.
 
Pictures courtesy of ccnwa.com, Men's Tennis Forums, and Zimbio.

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Top 10 USA Men for 2015

2014 was a year full of titles, rising stars, and positive surprises for American tennis. 2015 will bring more of the same, as American tennis players are looking to fulfill their expectations and reach the higher levels of the game. There is a very bright future, and the men are ready to regain their place at the top of the rankings. 

This year will be a big step towards a very successful future for American tennis, as at least 8 players have a very realistic shot at finishing in the top 100, while many others will continue to rise in the rankings.

Top 10
1. Sam Querrey
2. John Isner
3. Jack Sock
4. Steve Johnson
5. Donald Young
6. Denis Kudla
7. Ryan Harrison
8. Tim Smyczek
9. Austin Krajicek
10. Bradley Klahn

Sam Querrey is coming off an overall poor 2014, however he did have that very strong finish. I expect him to carry that confidence into 2015 and bounce back to overcome Isner for the number 1 spot, while Isner will continue to play his consistent game but have difficult making long runs in major tournaments.

Sock, Johnson, Young, and Krajicek each had very successful 2014 seasons and should continue those into 2015. They'll all be playing more tour level events (minus Krajicek, who will be getting more seeds at challengers) which will help them garner more rankings points as they improve their skills and gain more experience.

Harrison, Smyczek, and Klahn are coming off of relatively disappointing years and will have big turn arounds in 2015, especially Harrison. He has very little to defend this season which will allow him to play with less stress and win more matches. Smyczek needs more consistency from week to week, doing so will allow him to get back near his career high ranking of 73.

Denis Kudla has always been full of potential, and he'll fulfill that this year. If he stays healthy, he will win a few challengers and maybe even get into some tour level events as he could approach the top 50.

Honorable Mentions
Just missing out on the cut are Tennys Sandgren, Jarmere Jenkins, Chase Buchanan, Rajeev Ram, and Wayne Odesnik; meanwhile, Bjorn Fratangelo and Jared Donaldson are a little further out. 

Sandgren needs to stay healthy; Jenkins, Fratangelo, and Donaldson are making the jump to challengers which will bring tougher competition; Buchanan, Ram, and Odesnik need more consistency.

Overall, 2015 should be a very bright year for American tennis. The full preview for 2015 will be out on New Year's Day.